The climate impact indicators provided are the end result of a long chain of model simulations and statistical calculations. Here, we provide an overview of the method for producing the…
A Climate Impact Indicator (CII) is an aggregate quantitative measure used to show the impact of climate change on complex environmental phenomena in terms of trends and variability. Climate Impact…
Seasonal forecasts variables are the likelihood of climate anomalies (deviations from the long term (30 year) mean), occurring for a particular month or season 1-12 months ahead. Seasonal forecasts present…
The ensemble value range (interquartile range) is a confidence measure that provides information about the ensemble spread of the projected climate change signals. The ensemble value range indicates the range…
The estimates of climate-change impact include large uncertainties, therefore an ensemble of projections is presented. The ensembles contain a spread of values that reflect the lack of knowledge, for instance…
A climate model is a numerical representation of the climate system, and thus not a perfect description of the system. The description of the physical laws governing the climate system…
The data and results are based on state of the art modelling systems combining widely used regional climate models and three different large scale hydrological models. The indicator data presented…
Both Global and Regional Climate models (GCM, RCM) have systematic errors (biases) in their output. For example climate models often have too many rainy days and tend to underestimate rainfall…